Who's Worse-- Manchin Or Sinema? Does It Even Matter?

"Pulling The Rug" by Nancy Ohanian

Over a decade ago, before she had been elected to the House, Kyrsten Sinema was in the Arizona state legislature and she and I were serving on a board. As I got to know her, I realized she was, quite literally, insane, dangerously insane. When I warned about her here at DWT, people who know her— especially from the legislature— thanked me. Far more people cursed me for “damaging the Democratic Party.” After she was elected to Congress and started running up the most Republican voting record of any Democrat in the House and then wormed her way into the chair of the Blue Dog coalition, fewer and fewer people cursed me.

After Schumer selected her as the Democratic seat for an easy win in an open Arizona Senate seat, cleared the field for her and helped finance here, progressives started getting suspicious. It didn’t take long for people to realize it was me “damaging the Democratic Party,” but Sinema. It is a much discussed question about who the worst Democratic member of the Senate is, Joe Manchin or Sinema. I’m no fan of Manchin’s but I haver no doubt that Sinema— because of her severe mental illness— is a far worse, and far more destructive— member of the Senate.

This morning NY Times reporters Ken Vogel and Kate Kelly, looked at a special aspect of Manchin and Sinema— the corruption and bribery aspect. Everyone in DC knows they are taking massive amounts of money to wreck Biden’s Build Back Better agenda but no one ever mentions charging either of them with a crime. God Forbid!!! Convicting Manchin and Sinema of bribery, would open more than half the Congress unto the same charges… and the members are very careful about how they define bribery in the statutes. There is no doubt though, that Manchin and Sinema are being paid off for Republican billionaires to, as The Times put it, gently, “reshape” Biden’s agenda.

Neither is up for reelection next year. And either could walk away from the Democratic Party— both have admitted thinking about it— and join the GOP in an instant, flipping control of the Senate to their friend and collaborator Mitch McConnell. Senate Democrats may have their guts, but the handle them gingerly. And now Sinema has what she has always craved: attention, relevance and notoriety. She loves the role of comic book villain.

Over the summer, as he was working to scale back President Biden’s domestic agenda, Senator Joe Manchin of West Virginia traveled to an $18 million mansion in Dallas for a fund-raiser that attracted Republican and corporate donors who have cheered on his efforts.

In September, Senator Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, who along with Manchin has been a major impediment to the White House’s efforts to pass its package of social and climate policy, stopped by the same home to raise money from a similar cast of donors for her campaign coffers.

Even as Sinema and Manchin, both Democrats, have drawn fire from the left for their efforts to shrink and reshape Biden’s proposals, they have won growing financial support from conservative-leaning donors and business executives in a striking display of how party affiliation can prove secondary to special interests and ideological motivations when the stakes are high enough.

Sinema is winning more financial backing from Wall Street and constituencies on the right in large part for her opposition to raising personal and corporate income tax rates. Manchin has attracted new Republican-leaning donors as he has fought against much of his own party to scale back the size of Biden’s legislation and limit new social welfare components.

…[T]he stream of cash to the campaigns of Sinema and Manchin from outside normal Democratic channels stands out because many of the donors have little history with them. The financial support is also notable for how closely tied it has been to their power over a single piece of legislation, the fate of which continues to rest largely with the two senators because their party cannot afford to lose either of their votes in the evenly divided Senate.

Their influence has been profound. The domestic policy bill, which would expand the social safety net and efforts to fight climate change, started out at $3.5 trillion and has been shrunk— mainly at the insistence of Manchin— to around $2 trillion; it could get smaller as the Senate takes up the version passed on Friday by the House. New spending measures were originally to have been paid for mostly through tax-rate increases on the wealthy and corporations— a component of the plan that had to be substantially rewritten because of Sinema’s opposition.

This month, the billionaire Wall Street investor Kenneth Langone, a longtime Republican megadonor who has not previously contributed to Manchin, effusively praised him for showing “guts and courage” and vowed to throw “one of the biggest fund-raisers I’ve ever had for him.”

In a statement to the New York Times, Langone, who has given an overwhelming majority of his millions of dollars in federal political donations to Republicans, said, “My political contributions have always been in support of candidates who are willing to stand tall on principle, even when that means defying their own party or the press.”

Stanley Hubbard, a billionaire Republican donor, wrote his first check to Sinema in September and said that he was considering doing the same for Manchin because of their efforts to trim the sails of the Democrats’ agenda. “Those are two good people— Manchin and Sinema— and I think we need more of those in the Democratic Party,” he said.

Cash has also poured in for Manchin and Sinema from political action committees and donors linked to the finance and pharmaceutical industries, which opposed proposals initially included in the domestic policy bill that the lawmakers helped scale back, including changes to Medicare and the tax-rate increases.

…The lawmakers share a campaign finance consultant, who helped organize fund-raising swings through Texas for both lawmakers that yielded cash from Republican donors, as well as a fund-raiser for Sinema in Washington in late September with business lobbying groups that oppose the domestic policy bill.

Nelson Peltz, a billionaire investor who brought a Republican-heavy group of chief executives to have lunch with Manchin in Washington a few months ago, said the senator “understands that you can’t spend, spend, spend and feel there’s no recourse for it.”

Peltz, who donated to Mr. Manchin in 2017, has not given to Sinema, but he said that she had requested a meeting, which will take place in a few weeks.

Individual donors like Peltz, who over the years has donated nearly three times as much to Republicans as he has to Democrats at the federal level, offer the two Democratic senators a way to restock their campaign coffers— both are up for re-election in 2024— at a time when they are unlikely to get an enthusiastic reception from some more traditional Democratic donors.

Manchin has long been to the right of his party on litmus-test issues like abortion rights and fossil fuels, while Sinema started her political career as a liberal activist before shifting to the center. One Wall Street executive joked that in his industry, Sinema— who as a young politician once likened political donations to “bribery”— was now referred to as “Saint Sinema” for opposing most of Biden’s proposed taxes on the wealthy. (She has, however, supported a 15 percent corporate minimum tax and other revenue-raising measures that will help pay for Biden’s legislative spending.)

Progressives are less amused and have accused both senators of undermining their party’s agenda at the behest of special interests.

…This year, Manchin and Sinema have received donations from major Republican donors who had never before given to them, including James A. Haslam III, who owns the Cleveland Browns football team, and the Dallas real estate developer Harlan Crow, who is close to Justice Clarence Thomas of the Supreme Court.

Several other prominent Republican donors who supported Trump also wrote their first-ever checks to Manchin in the last few months. They include the Oklahoma oil and gas billionaire Harold Hamm, who pushed the former president to deregulate the energy industry; the Dallas-based lobbyist and investor Roy Bailey, who helped lead fund-raising for Trump’s inauguration and a pro-Trump nonprofit group; and the banker Andrew Beal, who donated a total of $3 million to a super PAC supporting Trump from 2018 through last year.

Executives at Goldman Sachs, including the firm’s president, John Waldron, combined to donate tens of thousands of dollars to Sinema in the spring and summer. In July, she attended a meet-and-greet at the offices of the Blackstone Group, which is headed by a major Republican donor; some Blackstone employees made donations around the same time. A handful of employees from the investment firm Apollo Global Management, including Marc Rowan, the chief executive and a major donor to predominantly Republican candidates and causes, donated to Sinema in late September after the firm sent a plea to industry contacts seeking donations for her.

G. Brint Ryan, the Republican donor who hosted the fund-raisers in Dallas for Manchin and Sinema, said the senators were “out of step with their party, but I tend to believe that they’re in the right.”

Ryan had not previously donated to Sinema and had not held fund-raisers for either before this year, though he donated $1,000 to Manchin’s 2018 re-election campaign.

The website for Ryan’s tax consulting firm says it works at “liberating our clients from the burden of being overtaxed.”

The firm’s lobbyists have been monitoring the debate in Congress over the tax implications of the domestic policy bill, according to disclosure filings. Ryan, who said in an email that the measure would “make a bad tax code worse and kill economic growth,” has ties to Republicans who have helped lead opposition to it.

He advised Trump on tax policy during his presidential campaign in 2016. One of the partners in Ryan’s tax consulting firm is Jeff Miller, a corporate lobbyist and close political adviser to Representative Kevin McCarthy of California, the House Republican leader.

Miller, who is a top Republican fund-raiser, helped steer Mr. Ryan’s team to people who could assist in planning the fund-raisers for Sinema and Manchin. And Miller’s wife gave to Sinema’s campaign.

In the days around the fund-raisers at his home, Ryan, his employees, his company’s political action committee and a relative’s law firm combined to donate nearly $80,000 to Sinema’s campaign and more than $115,000 to Manchin’s.

The $2.6 million raised by Sinema’s campaign through the first nine months of this year was two and a half times as much as she raised in the same period last year, while the $3.3 million raised by Manchin’s campaign was more than 14 times as much as his haul through the end of September last year.

Overall, Sinema’s campaign took in about $6.1 million in donations between the beginning of 2019 and the end of September, and it had $4.5 million in the bank with three years to go until she faces the voters in Arizona. Manchin’s campaign raised about $3.8 million and had $5.4 million on hand.

And that’s real money… money that there are ways for them to access personally if they decide to forgo running for reelection or if either is defeated in 2024, a fate it will be nearly impossible for Sinema to avoid, unless she switches parties. Since she’s insane, as I’ve been saying, there is literally no way to tell what she will do next. Whatever but is, though, will be bad for America. Want to prevent another bunch of Sinemas and Manchins ruining the next Senate? NEVER support any Schumer recruits-- like Conor Lamb (PA), Val Demings (FL), Cheri Beasley (NC), Abby Finkenauer (IA), Tim Ryan (OH)... If you want to help alternatives to the 2022 batch of Kyrsten Sinemas, consider these progressive candidates. The left has prepare for a fascist onslaught. Following Weimer Germany is NOT the way.