Tons Of House Seats Still Too Close To Call
There are plenty of more votes to be counted, especially on the Left Coast but there was no Red Wave yesterday. What I want to do here is examine just one simple factor— where Kevin McCarthy’s SuperPAC (the Congressional Leadership Fund)— spent its quarter billion dollars in mostly corporate and billionaire funding... and where those races stand this morning. I just looked at the races where McCarthy spent over a million dollars.
NV-03- $10,963,771 (Democrat Susie Lee is leading)-- tossup
NV-01- $8,632,074 (Democrat Dina Titus is leading)-- leaning D
PA-07- $8,012,879 (Democrat Susan Wild is leading)-- leaning D
NY-17- $7,541,207 (Democrat Sean Patrick Maloney is cooked)-- leaning R
IN-01- $7,371,840 (Democrat Frank Mrvan has been reelected)
CA-13- $7,052,461 (dead heat)-- tossup
OR-05- $6,864,229 (Republican Lori Chavez-DeRemer is leading)-- leaning R
CA-47- $6,833,165 (Democrat Katie Porter is leading)-- leaning D
CA-22- $6,677,334 (Republican David Valadao is leading)-- leaning R
WA-08- $6,199,299 (Democrat Kim Schrier is leading)-- leaning D
MN-02- $6,118,390 (Democrat Angie Craig has been reelected)
CA-49- $6,015,904 (Democrat Mike Levin is leading)-- leaning D
IL-17- $6,009,623 (Democrat Eric Sorensen is leading)-- leaning D
TX-34- $5,885,807 (Democrat Vicente Gonzalez was reelected)
MI-07- $5,759,228 (Democrat Elissa Slotkin was reelected)
CO-08- $5,722,589 (Democrat Yadira Cavaveo is leading)-- tossup
VA-02- $5,572,080 (Republican Jen Kiggans defeated Elaine Luria)
ME-02- $5,508,867 (Democrat Jared Golden is leading)-- leaning D
NY-19- $5,235,867 (Republican Marc Molinaro is leading)-- leaning R
PA-17- $5,177,105 (Democrat Chris Deluzio is leading)-- leaning D
NH-02- $5,130,941 (Democrat Chris Pappas was reelected)
TX-28- $4,974,436 (Democrat Henry Cuellar was reelected)
NY-18- $4,679,938 (Democrat Pat Ryan is leading)--leaning D
OH-13- $4,534,43 (Democrat Emilia Sykes beat Trumpist nut Madison Gesiotto Gilbert)
NJ-07- $4,509,409 (Republican Tom Kean is leading)-- leaning R
CT-05- $4,433,958 (Democrat Jahana Hayes is leading)-- leaning D
NY-22- $4,235,486 (Republican Brandon Williams is leading)-- leaning R
VA-07- $4,128,871 (Democrat Abigail Spanberger was reelected)
RI-02- $3,756,153 (Democrat Seth Magaziner won)
AZ-06- $3,673,657 (Democrat Kirsten Engel is leading)-- tossup
CA-45- $3,286,771 (Republican Michelle Steel is leading)-- leaning R
NC-13- $2,900,520 (Democrat Wiley Nickel beat MAGA crackpot Bo Hines)
NE-02- $2,852,021 (Republican Don Bacon was reelected)
KS-03- $2,733,223 (Democrat Sharice Davids was reelected)
MI-03- $2,727,855 (Democrat Hillary Scholten beat MAGA loon John Gibbs)
CA-27- $2,574,472 (Republican Mike Garcia is leading)-- leaning R
NM-02- $2,571,187 (Democrat Gabe Vasquez is leading)-- tossup
PA-08- $2,447,574 (Democrat Matt Cartwright is leading)-- leaning D
OH-01- $2,348,886 (Democrat Greg Landsman ousted Steve Chabot)
IL-06- $1,913,350 (Democrat Sean Casten was reelected)
IA-02- $1,695,319 (Republican Ashley Hinson was reelected)
IA-03- $1,691,370 (Republican Zach Nunn is beating Cindy Axne)-- leaning R
NY-04- $1,531,549 (Republican Anthony D’Esposito is leading)-- leaning R
FL-27- $1,475,546 (Republican Maria Elvira Salazar was reelected)
IA-01- $1,441,312 (Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks was reelected)
MI-10- $1,428,319 (Republican John James is leading)-- leaning R
MI-08- $1,198,381 (Democrat Dan Kildee is going to be reelected)-- leaning D
CA-40- $1,139,429 (Republican Young Kim is going to be reelected)-- leaning R
McCarthy's biggest bets haven't paid off and probably won't. He spent over $5 million dollars in each of 21 districts. Of those seats, 5 Democrats have already been declared winners, one Republican was declared a winner (in a very gerrymandered district), 8 are leaning towards the Democrat, 4 are leaning towards the Republican and 3 are still real tossups. A quarter billion dollars not well spent. And I'm not the only one who's noticed.
I'm really laughing my ass off of Sean Patrick Maloney's race he really thought he & his corporate goons were going to win back his old seat due to Gerrymandering *Buzzer* sucker i can't stand this corporate corrupt fraud he Max Rose & the neoliberal candidates got exactly got what they deserved go away from politics for good.
It's looking like Dobbs is the wildcard that helped the democraps avoid a total slaughter. Looks like the nazis will take the hou$e anyway, so mccarthy did enough. Can't call the $enate yet, except even if the democraps keep their 50-50 split, you can be damn sure they won't do anything that either the money does not approve of or that is the least bit politically controversial.
And you can be damn sure they won't fix Dobbs. They're going to need that one for next time too.
And if the roberts court decides to rule from the bench even more, like gutting medicare or repudiating decisions on LGBTQ marriage equality... the democraps might have enough to be competitive in 2024.