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Is Iowa On The Verge Of Flipping Blue— Or At Least Purple— Again?

The DCCC Thinks Dems Could Win Back 2 House Seats There


Miller-Meeks and Nunn could be in trouble

In 2016 Iowa gave Trump a  thumping 10 point win over Hillary. He won all but 6 of Iowa’s 99 counties. 4 years later, Trump beat Biden by nearly 9 points and again with 83 counties. It wasn’t that long ago that Iowans were voting like normal people. Obama won the state in both 2008 and 2012— and by nearly 10 points in 2008. In 2018— a blue wave election— Democrats won 3 of Iowa’s 4 congressional districts and then lost 2 of them in 2020 and the last one left in 2022. Part of the reason was because Iowa was swinging MAGA and another was because the Iowa Democratic Party and its candidates were transitioning from populist progressive to corporate and conservative. Iowa Dems have been running a pack of worthless Blue Dogs and New Dems, so of course they keep losing; they suck.


A possible outlier just showed Kamala catching up with Trump— 43 to 47%. Could the Democrats actually be on the verge of flipping Iowa? Or even just making it a swing state again? Maybe. Dawn Roberts, a life-long Republican and the former co-chair of the state’s Nikki Haley campaign just explained to Des Moines Register readers why she endorsed Kamala. She was impressed that Kamala said she wants to be president “for all of the people... At a news conference she said she would consider having a Republican in her cabinet. All of these statements lead me to believe that she truly has the skills needed to bring us together as a country and, hopefully, the world. I heard her articulate that she has always brought groups of diverse individuals and opinions together to solve problems. That is a healthier and wiser way to lead. At this month's debate, she continued to impress, looking at the audience and emphasizing bringing the country together rather than dividing, lifting people up rather than tearing people down. It also doesn’t hurt that she (as the most qualified candidate running for president) happens to be a woman.”


The Democrats are starting to take 3 of the 4 congressional districts seriously as well— or at least two of them. In a wave election 3 are actually flippable, at least on paper:


  • IA-01- R+3 (partisan lean- R+4)- Mariannette Miller-Meeks

  • IA-02- R+4 (partisan lean- R+6)- Ashley Hinson

  • IA-03- R+3 (partisan lean- R+2)- Zach Nunn

  • IA-04- R+16 (partisan lean- R+27)- Randy Feenstra


In the 2020 open seat election, Mariannette Miller-Meeks defeated Democrat Democrat Rita Hart by just 6 votes— the closest congressional election in the country. Two years later, Miller-Meeks successfully defended her seat against New Dem Christina Bohannon, winning 53.3% to 46.6%. That same year Nunn edged incumbent New Dem and corporate shill Cindy Axne 156,262 (50.26%) to 154,117 (49.57%).


This cycle, Lanon Baccam, a Blue Dog and New Dem is running against Nunn and Bohannon is running against Miler-Meeks again. Yesterday, Hakeem Jeffries’ House Majority PAC announced it has reserved another $1.1 million in TV time to help Bohannon. The PAC has already been spending money on behalf on Baccam and Bohannon. So far the DCCC and House Majority PAC had already spent over $800,000 on Lanon’s race. It’s worth noting that the cryptocriminals are spending massively to protect Nunn.


There are down-ballot Democrats running for state legislative seats whose chances to win have soared in recent days, including state Senate candidates Nannette Griffin, in the southeast corner of the state, and Matt Blake in Polk County, and state House candidates Heather Sievers in Polk County, Tiara Mays-Sims, also in Polk County, and Aime Wichtendahl in Linn County.


It’s worth remembering that both of Iowa’s US senators are Republicans, as is the governor, the secretary of state and the attorney general. The state Senate has 34 Republicans and just 16 Democrats and the state House consists of 64 Republicans and 36 Democrats… so Iowa has a long climb back. A good way to start would be for state Democrats shedding that ugly corporate stance and getting back to representing working families again.

3 Comments


Guest
17 hours ago

A good way to start would be for state Democrats shedding that ugly corporate stance


But if they did that, the corporate investments would dry up. What's a corrupt pussy party to do?

Stick with the geese laying those golden eggs and lose a few winnable seats... including maybe the oval office. They choose money over good governance. Since slick willie sold the whole party to the money.


FDR must be just sick in his grave.

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ptoomey
18 hours ago

There's no reason for IA or OH or FL to not be at least swing states. Hell, my daughter (who was attending Grinnell College in IA then) had her picture taken with Biden when he made a campaign stop in 2012.


The fact that people are sweating over whether NE might change the law apportioning EVs by CD speaks volumes about where the donkey is now. The GOP is running a visibly declining narcissist who mishandled Covid every way possible, who fomented insurrection, who is a convicted felon, and who openly seeks dictatorial powers. Their VP nominee is a smarmy and opportunistic con man who openly acknowledged that he lied about constituents in his state eating their neighbor's pets.


A…


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Guest
17 hours ago
Replying to

they're too busy suborning more/bigger corporate investments.

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